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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2017-05-23T06:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2017-05-23T06:00Z
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2017-05-27T14:47Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2017-05-27T21:07Z (-4.0h, +4.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:

Compiled module: CME_KINEMATICS_MODEL_PM2017.

CME speed from CACTUS:
23/05/2017 05:48
min V = 128
max V = 262

Most pr. speed:
V = 210
dV = 40

Duration in seconds: 400795.25
Duration in days: 4.6388339
t2 is negative

Acceleration of the CME:   0.82 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME in ACE orbit:  537.9 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 27/05/2017 Time: 21:07 UT

Lead Time: 53.40 hour(s)
Difference: -6.33 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2017-05-25T09:23Z

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